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Look at the picture: The increased confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry indicates that the economic development is in line with the Bank of Japan's forecast. Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting next week, the confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry has increased. According to the quarterly short-term report released by the Bank of Japan on Friday, the short-term survey index of Japan's large manufacturing industry rose slightly to 14 in December, with an estimated 13. The short-term survey index of large non-manufacturing industry decreased slightly from 34 to 33. Small businesses' confidence in manufacturing and service industries has also improved, although the outlook has slightly weakened or remained unchanged. The short-term report has attracted the attention of the Bank of Japan and is the last batch of major domestic data that will be carefully studied before the interest rate decision on December 19. This result shows that Japan's economic development is in line with the forecast of the Bank of Japan and is a condition for further interest rate hike. Compared with December, economists are more inclined to expect the Bank of Japan to take action in January next year, but still believe that the risk of raising interest rates next week is high.Treasury bond futures opened, with 30-year main contracts rising by 0.48%, 10-year main contracts rising by 0.36%, 5-year main contracts rising by 0.25% and 2-year main contracts rising by 0.05%.The scale of A500-related funds exceeded 240 billion yuan, and the scale of CSI A500ETF leader (563,800) jumped to the first place in Shanghai. On December 12, the total scale of funds tracking CSI A500 index reached 242.1 billion yuan, which was the fastest index in the history of A-share. In addition, the CSI A500 Index also contributed about one third of the increase in scale index funds since September. Among them, CSI A500ETF leader (563800) has attracted the most gold since its listing on November 18th, with a net inflow of 14.2 billion yuan, and its latest scale has exceeded 16.5 billion yuan, ranking first in Shanghai.

The Philippine side's provocation and China's counter-measures will be one step stronger. The Philippine Coast Guard said that China has recently launched "aggressive actions" against Philippine fishing boats heading for the reef. Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, said today that the Philippine side likes to take a boat full of journalists wherever it goes, whether it is sailing or shipping, but the key is not to see who has more journalists, but to see who is more reasonable and legal. China Nansha Islands and Huangyan Island have never been included in the territory of the Philippines, which is determined by a series of international treaties. The Philippines is well aware of this. China's attitude is clear and definite: one point for provocation and one step for counter-attack; If you are stubborn, you will be with me to the end.The United States said that the ceasefire agreement in Gaza was close to being reached, but Hamas didn't respond. On the 12th local time, Sullivan, Assistant to the President of the United States for National Security Affairs, held talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. After the talks, Sullivan told the media that he thought Netanyahu was ready to reach a ceasefire agreement with Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas). According to US media reports on the 12th, sources said that the negotiating position of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) has softened, and it may agree to the temporary presence of Israeli troops in the Gaza after the ceasefire. However, Hamas has not yet responded to this news.Foreign media: Trump "strongly opposes" Ukraine's use of American-made missiles to attack Russia's hinterland, and at the same time says that he will not give up Ukraine. According to Reuters's report, US President-elect Trump criticized Ukraine's use of American-made missiles to attack targets in Russia on the 12th local time, arguing that this has aggravated the escalation of the war between Russia and Ukraine. However, he also mentioned that he would not give up Ukraine. When talking about the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Trump said in an interview, "What happened is crazy. This is crazy. I strongly object to launching missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing this? This will only escalate this war and make the situation worse. " According to the report, Trump hopes to end this "war" that lasted for nearly three years as soon as possible, but he is more cautious about revealing specific details. When asked if Kiev would cut its military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine if it did not agree to the peace agreement, Trump responded, "I think I have a very good plan to help Ukraine, but when I started to disclose this plan, it would almost become a worthless plan." In addition, when asked if he would give up Ukraine, Trump replied, "I hope to reach an agreement, and the only way to reach an agreement is not to give up." (World Wide Web)

The vacancy of Cao Guo was filled. South Korea's opposition camp continued to maintain 192 seats in the National Assembly. On the 13th, local time, South Korea's Central Electoral Management Commission decided that Bai Xianji, the motherland reform party, would take over the vacancy of Cao Guo. As a result, South Korea's opposition camp continued to maintain 192 seats in the National Assembly. On the afternoon of the 12th, Cao Guo, the leader of South Korea's opposition party, the Motherland Reform Party, was found guilty of fraud in the final judgment of his children's education, and Cao Guo was immediately deprived of his qualification as a member of parliament. The total number of members of the opposition camp decreased from 192 to 191. (CCTV News)Guojin Securities: The warm wind of medical policy comes first, then the progress of innovation going out to sea, and then the opportunity of performance reversal. Guojin Securities Research Report said that the core investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector in 25 years will revolve around three logics: 1) innovation going out to sea; 2) demand recovery; 3) Policy expectation reversal. At present, the policy warm wind comes first (the medical track policy continues to warm up, and the overall industry expectation is expected to be optimistic); Then, R&D and innovation will go to sea (innovative drug track will continue to make progress, and it will still be the hottest track in the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, especially it is recommended to pay attention to the clinical data reading and commercialization progress of the first-line target, as well as the fluctuation opportunity of the expected difference of the second-line innovative drugs), and then the performance growth rate is expected to bottom out in the first half of 2025 (but it will take time for this improvement in performance growth rate to come. Considering the current industry communication and historical base, it is expected that 4Q24 and 1Q25 should still be cautiously optimistic.)The retail sector continued its upward trend of Zhongbai Group for 10 days and 7 boards, and the retail sector continued its upward trend. Zhongbai Group for 10 days and 7 boards, Maoye Commercial and Actually Zhijia had daily limit, and Guangbai shares, Dashang shares, Central Shopping Mall and Hongqi Chain opened higher collectively.